- Dear professor von Glasersfeld,
-
- Thank you again. May I reply to your December V
- answer as follows. Essentially is, that Piaget's
- theory on intelligence is constructed totally
- abductionwise! He never
used any inferential
- statistics or any
non-abductionwise inferences.
Piaget worked for Simon en Binet who were the
- founding fathers of intelligence-tests which are
- based on statistical inferences like the
- correlation coefficient. Simon asked Piaget to
- standardize tests. But what did Piaget do?
- Piaget was not interested in good or false
- answers - on which psychometrical tests are
- based by using statistical means en
- standarddeviations - but on the reasoning of
- the child in his answers: he looked at the
- reasoning of answers of many children to a
- particular question. Then it struck him for
- example - an unexpected experience of Piaget!! -
- that 11 year olds did not have any problem with
- part-whole problems, but all younger ones did!
- Why is that so, he asked? He was struck again
- and again, and finally came up wit his viable
- theory of intelligence
which you know so well.
-
- And did the sons of the founding fathers came up
- with any theory of intellgence? No. All they
- came up with was:
"intelligence is what this
- test measures" - can it more empty? Again, why
- is this so? They worked not
abductively, but
- statistical inferentially. They based their
- method on an unviable image of physics - but
- physics works abductively all the way, like
Piaget.
-
- What is meant by "inferential statistics" is
- t-test, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), Analysis
- of Covariance (ANCOVA), regression analysis, and
- the multivariate methods like factor analysis,
- multidimensional scaling, cluster analysis,
- discriminant function analysis, and so on.
-
- Your example of "making inferences from the
- statistics of observations" i.e. the theory that
- all swans are white, is not "inferential
- statistics", but if well understood a good
- example of abduction! I clarify: one can be
- struck by seeing many swans being white; then
- one tries to explain this: perhaps all swans are
- white; and then one goes to 'proof' it (nothing
- absolute implied), that is, one tries to find
- more swans and if they are white it is 'proven',
- for the time being: the theory becomes acceptyed
- as normal fact (nothing absolute implied).
- Indeed, it will be no longer viable as,
- unexpected in relation to the accepted theory, a
- black swan is observed (if the black swan is
- observed immediately while trying to 'proof' the
- theory, the theory is not viable at any time;
viabilty is a
- construction!).
-
- Regarding you reading me as looking for
- "absolute" viability; to my knowledge Newton's
theory of
- gravitation and the structure of the universe is
- also perfectly viable for NASA's enterprises: it
- has never been shown unviable by any unexpected
- finding at the level of unrelativistic speeds
- and by classical mechanical measurements! At
- that level it undecidable which theory has
- 'better cards' (not anything absolute implied, I
- repeat explicitely): it has not been superseeded
on that level.
- The flat earth theory needs not to be replaced
- for a farmer. For fishermen traveling far it
- needs to be replaced, though. But on a
- scientific level the flat earth theory is not
- viable for it can be disproven (nothing absolute
- implied). So, as said, as long as an explanation
- holds empirically (is tenable, viable) it is
- accepted as a theory, that is, as long as not a
- new unexpected finding comes up.
- Respectfully, my suggestion is that you reading
- me as looking for absolute viabilty is an
- unviable 'theory' of yours about what I am
- saying. That can happen; we are all in a proces
- of constructing, for the time being.
-
- Regarding "the concepts of levers and pulleys
- and the mathematical theories to which they led
- were constructed for the simple purpose of
- moving or lifting heavy objects". You must keep
- in mind the purpose of a theory - which is to
- explain unexpected findings - and applications of
a viable theory.
- Regarding "The various theories of aerodynamics
- used in the building of cars and
- planes were developed for the purpose of
- reducing air resistance, not for explaining any
- unexpected events": see above. Did you study the
- historical development of these theories? Please
- give me references to literature. I exepct your
- ideas about this development are unviable.
- Regarding "There was
nothing unexpected about
- air resistance, it is a common experiential
- fact". Notice, 'common' it has become: you must
- turn to the development of children to
- understand how they came to the construction of
- such a famliar concept as air resistence. I do
- not know in what stage they are when they come
- to understand it. Children are surprised all the
- time - sometimes they keep
asking why and why
- and why ... - and surprise
us all the time...
-
- Please your respected comments.
R. Kooyman
- The Netherlands